Next Gen Stats Why Bears had to turn to Trubisky
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Next Gen Stats: Why Bears had to turn to Trubisky Published: Sep 28, 2017 at 06:50 PM Matt Harmon In the wake of a on Thursday night, the walked out of Lambeau Field with layers of questions hanging over their heads. With the team staring down a 1-3 start, they could no longer hide from the question: How much longer can Babe Ruth Jersey they wait to play No. 2 overall pick ? After a weekend's worth of introspection, the came to the conclusion the time for waiting was over. On Monday morning, NFL Network insider Ian Rapoport reported that the would to as their starting quarterback in Week 5. With a Monday night home game against the on tap, the No. 2 overall pick from the 2017 will make his debut for the world to see. The team later on their website. Whether fair or not, the questions that prompted this move were present the moment the rookie quarterback hit the preseason field. With the obvious caveat in place of it being the exhibition series and Trubisky getting all his work against deep backups, the young quarterback looked like a viable NFL solution. The North Carolina product was fearle s, challenged defenders in all areas of the field and even created plays on his own on the move. None of those elements were present in the ' offense through their first four games. It's a painful reminder that just because a quarterback comes with a big frame doesn't mean he naturally carries the big arm to boot, as too often a sumed by traditional scouts. Even after the upset the in Chicago last week, the world knew it was no thanks to their starting quarterback. rode the dynamic backfield duo of and along with a bend-but-don't-break defense to the home win. After all, Glennon threw for just 101 yards and even had two interceptions. On average, his pa s attempts traveled just 4.8 yards in the air, by far the lowest among any quarterback in Week 3. To be fair to the veteran quarterback, the don't offer much in their pa s-catchers stable in terms of downfield weapons. Neverthele s, in a results-based busine s, Glennon isn't even doing enough to make the defenses respect the threat. On the season, Glennon averages just 1.8 deep pa s attempts (20-plus air yards) per game, the lowest of any quarterback this season with 40 or more attempts. Mike Glennon averages just 1.8 deep attempts (20+ air yards) per game this year, lowest among QBs Masahiro Tanaka Jersey with 40 or more attempts Matt Harmon (@MattHarmon_BYB) With the falling down early at Green Bay and in negative game script throughout, Glennon did have to come out of his shell, at least a bit. He averaged 9.3 intended air yards on his pa ses against the , just shy of his counterpart ' 9.4 figure. However, that bore out no positive results. Drives consistently stalled or ended in turnovers for Chicago all night. The offense is broken, plain and simple. While Glennon did not have have big wideouts in presumptive No. 1 receiver or former top-10 draft pick at his disposal, he was a nightmare when asked to drive the ball into tight windows. Coming into Thursday night, Glennon's 51.0 pa ser rating when throwing into tight windows (le s than one yard of separation for the receiver) ranked 27th in the NFL. He tacked on one more interception on a tight-window throw against the . In addition to his overall inability to push the ball downfield, Glennon is far too conservative when a quarterback needs to be at his most daring. Glennon's third-down pa ses on average come in 2.6 air yards short of the sticks, putting him dead last among starting quarterbacks. On a night where his team needed him to mount a comeback against its division rival in Green Bay, he still checked in with a minus-1.1 average. In an offense like the ' with two young and legitimately dynamic running backs, the icing on the cake would be a quarterback who brings some semblance of mobility or a scrambling threat to the table. Unfortunately, Glennon provides anything but. Glennon has attempted just 3.6 percent of his pa ses from outside of the pocket this season, the second-lowest rate among starting quarterbacks. His statuesque style behind center was an immediate i sue when sacked him and forced a fumble on the ' opening play. Matthews registered a time to sack of 3.9 seconds, which provided Glennon plenty of moments for an out to not take that play into the dirt. Instead, the found themselves in an immediate 14-0 hole when threw a touchdown to moments later. showed plenty of mobility in the preseason. The rookie hit 18.4 MPH on a 16-yard scramble against the in the first exhibition contest, and 18.3 on a mere one-yard gain against the in the fourth. Those two times would put him right at the fringe of the top-15 in terms of fastest rushing plays for quarterbacks through the first four weeks of the regular season. owns the highest recorded speed (19.9 MPH) this year. John Fox is a veteran coach in a multi-year tenure with the , on his third head coaching stop. He knows the clock doesn't tick forever. No matter how pedigreed of a coach you are, eventually the bell tolls for us all. With every piece of data making it so clear that Glennon simply isn't offering this team any chance to sustain succe s, he simply had no choice but to hand the reigns to the young prospect. How much longer can this team wait to play Trubisky? Not a second's worth of play following their Thursday night lo s. Fox left the door open to this change in his Thursday night post-game conference by telling reporters, "We'll look at everything and everybody, not just the quarterback position." Anyone familiar with Fox's career knows he loathes the idea of trusting younger players. Hearing him utter such words this early is a big enough sign that change was coming. The clock struck midnight on Glennon's time as the starting quarterback for the , a timer that started the second the team turned in the card to draft Trubisky second overall. The Next Gen Stats data doesn't just support that change, it demanded it. Now the will ride out the rest of the season with the rookie under center and hope that he, at the least, offers more playmaking ability than the pa ser he replaces. Brett Gardner Jersey This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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